Operational Situation Report — 2026

Diplomatic contacts remain active but unresolved. Frontline realities and security guarantees remain central to negotiations.

Negotiations and mediation remain ongoing with concerns about durability, compliance, and next-phase arrangements.

Civilian harm and displacement remain severe, underlining an acute humanitarian crisis and persistent security risk.

Power shifts and territorial claims increase risks of renewed large-scale conflict and regional spillover dynamics.

Fighting continues with evolving tactics, including drones and coercive mobilization, as forces attempt to regain ground.

Tensions remain elevated between China and multiple regional actors, with Taiwan as the central flashpoint.